Predictions For Open Source in 2011
Hear we are including enterprise resoure software (ERP) predictions, and general IT forecasts for year 2011.
Predictions for Linux and other open-source software. Lest that category of technology go “unpredicted,” allow me to venture these thoughts.
It becomes the number-one mobile operating platform in the world in the next few years. I predict that will happen sooner rather than later, possibly even by the end of next year.
iPhones, meanwhile, will increasingly be a niche choice among a relatively small set of Apple fanatics, much the way Macs are, while Windows Phone 7 will be declared a flop.
2. Again, on Tablets
I’ve lost count of just how many Android tablets are expected in the coming months, but there’s no way the solitary iPad can continue to dominate in the face of such diverse choice.Android is going to give Apple a serious run for its money in the tablet arena as well, mirroring to a slightly less dramatic extent its rapid ascendancy on smartphones.
3. Ubuntu and Linux
It needs on the desktop and maybe some mobile devices as well, making it a serious contender in the mainstream, even among non-technical consumers.
the combination of the new Unity interface and the Wayland graphics system promise to make upcoming Ubuntu versions what may be considered the first true “Linux for the masses.”
In short, It predict big things for Ubuntu next year, even as Linux continues strong on servers and as Windows continues to fade in a cloud of malware.
Along with these relatively new contenders in the operating system arena and the increasingly blurred lines that separate form factors, I think we’re going to see an increasing number of devices sold with two operating systems.
One of the first things people did to Google’s Chrome-based CR-48.
5. More Open Drivers
This year saw the announcement of Broadcom’s new open source wireless driver, and it also saw the debut of an open source driver for AMD’s Ontario Fusion chip. As Linux becomes increasingly mainstream, this is a trend that will continue. No manufacturer wants to exclude an increasingly significant market.
ARM architecture will continue to shine. Microsoft and Intel may both now be trying to catch up in this arena, but such efforts promise to be too little, too late.
7. Oracle and OpenOffice.org
In addition to suing Google over Java, the company has pulled the plug on OpenSolaris, caused the launch of numerous forks, precipitated the Apache Software Foundation’s resignation from the Java SE/EE Executive Committee, and targeted the Hudson project with more ownership claims.
OpenOffice.org, of course, is one of the projects that has now been forked, and I’m betting that the result–LibreOffice–is going to take over in the open source productivity software world. Many Linux distributions have already pledged to include it instead of OpenOffice, and the Document Foundation has exciting plans.
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